CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2026-08-03T03:38:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2026-08-03T03:38ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/47939/-1
CME Note: CME observed best to the E in STEREO A COR2. Also observed faintly to the W in SOHO LASCO C2 until a downlink gap begins at 2026-08-03T05:00Z, and faintly to the W in GOES CCOR-1. The source may be gradual field line brightening/opening from AR 14501 (S07W43) lasting approximately 2026-08-03T00:00Z to 2026-08-03T04:00Z in SDO AIA 193/211, likely deflected northeastward with proximity to the large southern polar coronal hole seen facing STEREO A EUVI.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-08-07T01:00Z
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)
Prediction Method Note:
KSWC ENLIL settings: ENLIL version: 2.7e Resolution: low (256x30x90) Ambient settings: a5b1 WSA version: 2.2 CME input parameters Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 2026-08-03T13:18Z Radial velocity (km/s): 352 Longitude (deg): 18.9 Latitude (deg):1.2 Half-angular width (deg): 29.5 Notes:Lead Time: 71.00 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by RWC KSWC (KASA) on 2026-08-04T02:00Z
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